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Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard and Risk Analysis: A Review of Research Gaps

Jörn Behrens 1 Finn Løvholt 2 Fatemeh Jalayer 3 Stefano Lorito 4 Mario Salgado-Gálvez 5, 6 Mathilde Sørensen 7 Stephane Abadie 8 Ignacio Aguirre-Ayerbe 9 Iñigo Aniel-Quiroga 9 Andrey Babeyko 10 Marco Baiguera 11 Roberto Basili 4 Stefano Belliazzi 3 Anita Grezio 12 Kendra Johnson 13 Shane Murphy 14 Raphael Paris 15 Irina Rafliana 16, 17 Raffaele de Risi 18 Tiziana Rossetto 11 Jacopo Selva 12 Matteo Taroni 4 Marta del Zoppo 3 Alberto Armigliato 19 Vladimír Bureš 20 Pavel Cech 20 Claudia Cecioni 21 Paul Christodoulides 22 Gareth Davies 23 Frédéric Dias 24 Hafize Başak Bayraktar 3 Mauricio González 25 Maria Gritsevich 26, 27, 28 Serge Guillas 11 Carl Bonnevie Harbitz 2 Utku Kânoǧlu 29 Jorge Macías 25 Gerassimos Papadopoulos 30 Jascha Polet 31 Fabrizio Romano 4 Amos Salamon 32 Antonio Scala 3 Mislav Stepinac 33 David Tappin 11, 34 Hong Kie Thio 35 Roberto Tonini 3 Ioanna Triantafyllou 36 Thomas Ulrich 37 Elisa Varini 38 Manuela Volpe 4 Eduardo Vyhmeister 39
Abstract : Tsunamis are unpredictable and infrequent but potentially large impact natural disasters. To prepare, mitigate and prevent losses from tsunamis, probabilistic hazard and risk analysis methods have been developed and have proved useful. However, large gaps and uncertainties still exist and many steps in the assessment methods lack information, theoretical foundation, or commonly accepted methods. Moreover, applied methods have very different levels of maturity, from already advanced probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis for earthquake sources, to less mature probabilistic risk analysis. In this review we give an overview of the current state of probabilistic tsunami hazard and risk analysis. Identifying research gaps, we offer suggestions for future research directions. An extensive literature list allows for branching into diverse aspects of this scientific approach.
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Submitted on : Monday, May 17, 2021 - 1:08:42 PM
Last modification on : Saturday, May 22, 2021 - 3:40:49 AM

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Jörn Behrens, Finn Løvholt, Fatemeh Jalayer, Stefano Lorito, Mario Salgado-Gálvez, et al.. Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard and Risk Analysis: A Review of Research Gaps. Frontiers in Earth Science, Frontiers Media, 2021, 9, ⟨10.3389/feart.2021.628772⟩. ⟨hal-03227520⟩

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